This Poll Is Horrific For the GOP, Come 2018


The GOP now has a 24-seat majority in the House and a two-seat majority in the Senate. 64% of these individuals said that they wanted Congress to be controlled by Democrats, whereas just 30% said that they were happy with the status quo.

For the die-hard Trump supporter, polls don't account for much, especially when the media drools over the president's historic low approval ratings.

The survey also conflictingly revealed that more Republicans are compelled to show up to vote in the next election at this early point in time. That's about a 17-point gap, three points wider than the margin by which Democratic candidates are now favored in 2018 over Republicans. Only six in 10 respondents who "strongly disapprove" of Trump's job performance say they will vote in 2018, compared to 72 percent of those who support Trump.

In addition, 29 percent said he sets a bad example for the United States when he makes personal attacks; 62 percent said they dislike his use of Twitter; 53 percent dislike Trump's refusal to release his personal tax returns; and 51 percent disagree on how Trump is handling Russia's interference of the 2016 election.

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Democrats were more likely than Republicans to skip the 2014 congressional elections, and the poll finds that among those who sat out 2014 and now say they are certain to vote in 2018, Democrats have a major advantage.

Note: 75 percent of registered voters did not vote for Trump.

But as President Trump and Senate Republicans are learning to their great displeasure, that was not the case. Just over half of voters say Trump will not be a factor in their votes.

The poll, conducted July 10-13, had a random national sample of 1,001 adults who were surveyed over both cellular and landline phones. Of the eight GOP seats, forecasters and party campaign committees consider only two to be genuinely competitive. The margin of error for overall results is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points and a sampling error of four points for the 859 registered voters.